Логистический анализ для обоснования управленческих решений по обеспечению материальными средствами в ходе ликвидации чрезвычайных ситуаций
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Научный журнал Моделирование, оптимизация и информационные технологииThe scientific journal Modeling, Optimization and Information Technology
Online media
issn 2310-6018

Logistics analysis to substantiate management decisions on the provision of material resources during emergency response

idKozhevin D.F., idEgoshin A.M.

UDC 658.5
DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2026.59.8.007

  • Abstract
  • List of references
  • About authors

This article explores a current approach to optimizing emergency logistics based on the integration of ABC and XYZ analysis. It substantiates the need for differentiated inventory management in the face of high uncertainty, time pressure, and limited resources typical of disaster zones. Traditional inventory planning methods, however, fail to account for the stochastic nature of demand for emergency supplies, leading to warehouse overstocking or a critical shortage of transportation resources. A combined ABC analysis (ranking materials by criticality for emergency rescue operations) and XYZ analysis (classification by consumption predictability) allows for the identification of four strategic inventory categories. Using a typical emergency as an example, it is demonstrated that AX and AY groups require a permanent reserve and priority replenishment, while CZ needs can be met on an ad hoc basis. The practical significance of this work lies in the development of recommendations for calculating reasonable minimum inventory standards, which reduces storage costs by 20–25 % and improves response times. The proposed methodology can be implemented in the activities of territorial divisions of the Ministry of Emergency Situations and emergency response logistics centers.

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Kozhevin Dmitriy Fedorovich
Candidate of Engineering Sciences, Docent
Email: yagmort_kdf@mail.ru

ORCID | eLibrary |

Saint-Petersburg university of State fire service of EMERCOM of Russia

Saint-Petersberg, Russian Federation

Egoshin Alexey Mihailovich
Doctor of Engineering Sciences, Docent
Email: al-ego@yandex.ru

ORCID | eLibrary |

Saint-Petersburg university of State fire service of EMERCOM of Russia

Saint-Petersberg, Russian Federation

Keywords: logistics analysis, ABC analysis, XYZ analysis, inventory management, emergency situations, material and technical support, cargo delivery, transportation of material and technical resources

For citation: Kozhevin D.F., Egoshin A.M. Logistics analysis to substantiate management decisions on the provision of material resources during emergency response. Modeling, Optimization and Information Technology. 2026;14(8). URL: https://moitvivt.ru/ru/journal/article?id=2469 DOI: 10.26102/2310-6018/2026.59.8.007 (In Russ).

© Kozhevin D.F., Egoshin A.M. Статья опубликована на условиях лицензии Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International (CC BY-NS 4.0)
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Received 01.06.2026

Revised 11.08.2026

Accepted 18.08.2026

Published 31.08.2026